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New Forex Policy: Naira Strengthens Against The Dollar

Nigeriaโ€™s naira strengthened against the dollar, heading for its first gain since starting to trade without a peg three days ago, as the central bank sought to stabilize the market by selling dollars.

The naira rose 0.7 percent to 282.5 per dollar by 5 p.m. in Lagos, the commercial capital of Africaโ€™s largest economy, after earlier dropping as much as 0.5 percent.

The regulator has intervened in the market by selling foreign exchange since it ended the currencyโ€™s 16-month fix of 197-199 per dollar on Monday. It sold $4 billion in the spot and forwards markets that day to clear a backlog of demand for hard currency, and followed that with aboutย $100 millionย of sales on the spot market on Tuesday.

โ€œThe market expects the central bank to continue to intervene on a daily basis for now as it is easily the only source of dollar supplies,โ€ Sewa Wusu, head of research at SCM Capital Ltd., said by phone from Lagos. โ€œForeign direct investment and portfolio flows are yet to start flowing in as investors wait on the sidelines to watch for liquidity, price discovery and stability.โ€

Forward contracts dropped as traders reduced their bets on how much further the naira will weaken, although they still see it dropping 6.5 percent by late September. Three-month naira non-deliverable forward contracts fell 4.7 percent, the most on a closing basis since May 17, to 302.25 per dollar. Contracts maturing in a year declined 3.7 percent to 340 per dollar.

โ€œThe monetary authority will be a regular participant in the interbank market, at least in the short term, to ensure that sufficient liquidity is available to facilitate two-way trade,โ€ analysts at Johannesburg-based Rand Merchant Bank, including Celeste Fauconnier and Nema Ramkhelawan-Bhana, said in a note to clients.

Nigeriaโ€™s benchmark equity index rose for a second day, advancing by 2.4 percent to 30,127.82, its highest close since Oct. 21. It has soared 34 percent since falling to a more than three-year low on Jan. 19, as local investors buy stocks anticipating a return by foreigners, whoย fledย when the central bank imposed capital controls to defend the nairaโ€™s peg.

Yields on the West African countryโ€™s $500 million bonds due in July 2023 were little changed at 7.09 percent. Theyโ€™ve dropped 51 basis points since central bank Governor Godwin Emefiele announced on June 15 that he was ending the currency fix.

Source Bloomberg

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